Message-ID: <2275103.1075857654157.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Thu, 15 Mar 2001 00:08:00 -0800 (PST) From: john.arnold@enron.com To: slafontaine@globalp.com Subject: Re: utilites? Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: John Arnold X-To: slafontaine@globalp.com @ ENRON X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \John_Arnold_Jun2001\Notes Folders\'sent mail X-Origin: Arnold-J X-FileName: Jarnold.nsf agree with contango story . cash to futures pretty bullish but a picture where agressive inj now are bearish later. so curve should flatten. also back of curve (cal2,3) under a lot of pressure now. customers will be buying all the way down and will get fucked just like last year. contango has been under considerable pressure even with the front falling...any rally should result in those snapping in to 4. good scalp in my opinion. definitely seeing your side on the $5 level. surprised we havent gotten more demand back as we sit at these lower levels. off to cabo today for a long weekend. kind of exhausted at work right now so a much needed break. slafontaine@globalp.com on 03/15/2001 07:50:59 AM To: John.Arnold@enron.com cc: Subject: Re: utilites? i wud think apr shud also start to find support from contangos, storage players, ie pretty attractive contangos given the bullsih mkt sentiment, and spec a little short will eventually roll. i bullspd a little little at 5.5 just for a scalp. if cash converges which it shud as we fall in px then shud see sprds find support at the 5-6 ct level/month? ? other than that-im still bearish-5 bucks not sustainable longer term and nothing yet telling me otherwise. economy and oil curve also not going to help ngas. buying 4.00 summer puts thanks for comments on utilites-i'll bet they buy all the way down but i think theyll have so much gas coming at em if we stay at these levels the mkt will ultiamtely force em to back down. in ny yest and today-saw the red hot chili peppers last nite , was awsome, small place about 1000 fans,maybe for a charity. also here for some of those covert operations we talked about a while back. wkup.