Message-ID: <29039550.1075854430593.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Tue, 28 Nov 2000 12:34:00 -0800 (PST) From: david.delainey@enron.com To: kenneth.lay@enron.com Subject: Mariner Cc: jeff.donahue@enron.com, raymond.bowen@enron.com Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Bcc: jeff.donahue@enron.com, raymond.bowen@enron.com X-From: David W Delainey X-To: Kenneth Lay X-cc: Jeff Donahue, Raymond Bowen X-bcc: X-Folder: \David_Delainey_Dec2000\Notes Folders\All documents X-Origin: Delainey-D X-FileName: ddelain.nsf Ken, in response to your note, I am not aware of any official dialogue with Mr. Kase Lawal about a potential sale of Mariner or with the economics of the aborted IPO. His $250 M valuation may have been appropriate 12 to 18 months ago. However, Mariner has enjoyed a series of successful wells that are expected to be booked in reserve reports next March not to mention significant increases in gas and oil prices. Our current valuations, in the $600M range is a stretch target but not incredibly out of line given reserve growth and current energy prices. Our current goal, is to be able to demonstrate three to four quarters of increasing operating cashflow and reserves growth before attempting a private sale mid next year to a significant E&P concern that desires an offshore division. The concentration, operating and exploration risk implicit in Mariner make it a very poor IPO candidate ((ie) I'm not sure that an IPO was ever a viable strategy to maximize the exit value). I would recommend that we not meet to make the following points: a) Mariner is not on the market at this point in time and b) his un-solicited offer does not warrant serious attention. Otherwise, we would be glad to speak to him in the future if we decide to sell tha asset. I hope this meets with your approval. Regards Delainey