Message-ID: <20401640.1075861677261.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Sun, 18 Nov 2001 08:30:08 -0800 (PST) From: dryan1@houston.rr.com To: pace.andy@enron.com, davis.dana@enron.com, david.ryan@enron.com, davis@enron.com, smith.doug@enron.com, fletch@enron.com, gupta@enron.com, arora.harry@enron.com, king.jeff@enron.com, forney.john@enron.com, john.suarez@enron.com, jose.marquez@enron.com, presto.kevin@enron.com, lloyd.will@enron.com, matt@enron.com, matt.lorenz@enron.com, a..roberts@enron.com, carson.mike@enron.com, j..broderick@enron.com, benson.rob@enron.com, stalford.rob@enron.com, ballato.russ@enron.com, bennett.steve@enron.com, wang.steve@enron.com, tom.may@enron.com, philip.willis@enron.com Subject: Sunday Weather Update Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: "David and Andrea Ryan" @ENRON X-To: Andy Pace , Dana Davis , Ryan, David , Davis , Doug Smith , Fletch , Gupta , Harry Arora , Jeff King , John Forney , Suarez, John , Marquez, Jose , Kevin Presto , Will, Lloyd , Matt , Lorenz, Matt , Roberts, Mike A. , Mike Carson , Broderick, Paul J. , Rob Benson , Rob Stalford , Russ Ballato , Steve Bennett , Steve Wang , May, Tom , Willis Philip X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \JFORNEY (Non-Privileged)\Forney, John M.\Deleted Items X-Origin: Forney-J X-FileName: JFORNEY (Non-Privileged).pst Fundamentals of the weather for the next 10-14 days remain the same as last week. The MRF and especially European models have been the most consistent lately. I am following the Euro here, but the MRF and Euro are not that much different and share the following.... 1) A change to much cooler weather than recently begininng this week. Weather pattern will become stormier and cooler overall, and we will see some daily variability as storms cross the nation. 2) No major Arctic air intrusions through the balance of the month and probably very early Dec. 3) Snowcover remains minimal in Southern Canada and in the U.S. This will be changing somewhat over the next couple of weeks. 4) I have no changes to the far long term for early to mid December. There is reason to believe that the upcoming pattern will last for a period of time, then change again. When it changes, there is a greater probability than not of it shifting to even colder for the East. It will be our challenge for the next couple of weeks to determine timing and intensity of this change. 5) Tomorrow's 6 to 10 day and 11 to 15 day forecasts hitting the market should be neutral to bearish overall, but certainly not as warm / mild as recent weeks. Dave 281.379.1376 832.524.0468