Message-ID: <239983.1075842484236.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 03:12:00 -0800 (PST) From: lorna.brennan@enron.com To: julie.mccoy@enron.com, steve.klimesh@enron.com, gary.sova@enron.com, rob.wilson@enron.com, lon.stanton@enron.com, david.marye@enron.com, courtney.barker@enron.com, sarabeth.smith@enron.com, danny.mccarty@enron.com, john.goodpasture@enron.com, michael.ratner@enron.com, sebastian.corbacho@enron.com, yuan.tian@enron.com, rockey.storie@enron.com, kent.miller@enron.com, john.dushinske@enron.com, dave.neubauer@enron.com, bill.fowler@enron.com, michael.bodnar@enron.com, joni.bollinger@enron.com, david.badura@enron.com, janet.bowers@enron.com, craig.buehler@enron.com, bob.burleson@enron.com, allen.cohrs@enron.com, john.fiscus@enron.com, steve.gilbert@enron.com, morgan.gottsponer@enron.com, stephen.herber@enron.com, dana.jones@enron.com, stephanie.korbelik@enron.com, bill.mangels@enron.com, penny.mccarran@enron.com, vernon.mercaldo@enron.com, larry.pavlou@enron.com, eileen.peebles@enron.com, tony.perry@enron.com, loren.penkava@enron.com, ken.powers@enron.com, chris.sebesta@enron.com, frank.semin@enron.com, neal.shaw@enron.com, larry.swett@enron.com, kay.threet@enron.com, mike.ullom@enron.com, lisa.valley@enron.com, chuck.wilkinson@enron.com, jim.wiltfong@enron.com, jo.williams@enron.com, karen.lagerstrom@enron.com, bob.stevens@enron.com, sue.neville@enron.com, mike.barry@enron.com, martha.janousek@enron.com, kimberly.watson@enron.com, don.powell@enron.com, steve.weller@enron.com, michael.stage@enron.com, tim.johanson@enron.com, laura.lantefield@enron.com, frank.oldenhuis@enron.com, jeff.nielsen@enron.com, robert.mason@enron.com, sean.bolks@enron.com, miriam.martinez@enron.com, lee.ferrell@enron.com, john.williams@enron.com, reyna.cabrera@enron.com, theresa.branney@enron.com, jan.moore@enron.com, lynn.blair@enron.com, rick.dietz@enron.com, steven.january@enron.com, sheila.nacey@enron.com, donna.scott@enron.com, dari.dornan@enron.com, maria.pavlou@enron.com, jim.talcott@enron.com, mary.miller@enron.com, michel.nelson@enron.com, mike.mcgowan@enron.com, julia.white@enron.com, drew.fossum@enron.com, glen.hass@enron.com, mary.darveaux@enron.com, rita.bianchi@enron.com, ranelle.paladino@enron.com, patrick.brennan@enron.com, tim.kissner@enron.com, steven.harris@enron.com, jeffery.fawcett@enron.com, lorraine.lindberg@enron.com, kevin.hyatt@enron.com, christine.stokes@enron.com, tk.lohman@enron.com, michelle.lokay@enron.com, lindy.donoho@enron.com Subject: Article on Skilling's Speech at the AA Energy Conference Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Lorna Brennan X-To: Julie McCoy, Steve Klimesh, Gary Sova, Rob Wilson, Lon Stanton, David Marye, Courtney Barker, Sarabeth Smith, Danny McCarty, John Goodpasture, Michael Ratner, Sebastian Corbacho, Yuan Tian, Rockey Storie, Kent Miller, John Dushinske, Dave Neubauer, Bill Fowler, Michael Bodnar, Joni Bollinger, David Badura, Janet Bowers, Craig Buehler, Bob Burleson, Allen Cohrs, John Fiscus, Steve Gilbert, Morgan Gottsponer, Stephen Herber, Dana Jones, Stephanie Korbelik, Bill Mangels, Penny McCarran, Vernon Mercaldo, Larry Pavlou, Eileen Peebles, Tony Perry, Loren Penkava, Ken Powers, Chris Sebesta, Frank Semin, Neal Shaw, Larry Swett, Kay Threet, Mike Ullom, Lisa Valley, Chuck Wilkinson, Jim Wiltfong, Jo Williams, Karen Lagerstrom, Bob Stevens, Sue Neville, Mike Barry, Martha Janousek, Kimberly Watson, Don Powell, Steve Weller, Michael G Stage, Tim Johanson, Laura Lantefield, Frank Oldenhuis, Jeff Nielsen, Robert Mason, Sean Bolks, Miriam Martinez, Lee Ferrell, John Williams, Reyna Cabrera, Theresa Branney, Jan Moore, Lynn Blair, Rick Dietz, Steven January, Sheila Nacey, Donna Scott, Dari Dornan, Maria Pavlou, Jim Talcott, Mary Kay Miller, Michel Nelson, Mike McGowan, Julia White, Drew Fossum, Glen Hass, Mary Darveaux, Rita Bianchi, Ranelle Paladino, Patrick Brennan, Tim Kissner, Steven Harris, Jeffery Fawcett, Lorraine Lindberg, Kevin Hyatt, Christine Stokes, TK Lohman, Michelle Lokay, Lindy Donoho X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \Drew_Fossum_Dec2000_June2001_1\Notes Folders\Notes inbox X-Origin: FOSSUM-D X-FileName: dfossum.nsf Drive to Succeed: Enron Prefers Toyota to GM To prosper in the new energy economy, Enron COO Jeffrey K. Skilling says oil and gas companies need to trash their traditional business models and instead reshape themselves to resemble Toyota when it captured the imagination and pocketbook of U.S. consumers 30 years ago. In a somewhat back-to-the-future treatise on how Enron expects to continue its monumental success, Skilling told Arthur Andersen Energy Conference attendees to define themselves not by their industry, but rather by their skills base. Toyota changed the U.S. auto industry by outsourcing its production, offering customers exactly what they wanted cheaper and faster. The energy industry has to do the same thing into the future, he told the Houston audience. "In 1982, the energy industry was a very rigid industry," he said, pointing to a similar business model that had been used by General Motors and Ford Motor Co. Those companies did every bit of the manufacturing process, keeping all of its pieces within the corporate structure. Then Toyota turned things upside down. When a customer wanted a different radio, Toyota relied on outside producers. It didn't stop the production line to please the customer. And it was able to do it faster. Enron has used the same model to shape its achievements, packaging components for customers to save time and money. Other energy companies are now adopting that method. In many ways, Skilling said Enron views itself as the Toyota of the energy industry. "We don't feel we have to provide all components, but package them the way the customer wants them. This is a pervasive trend we are seeing all over the industry." Enron, which has had a shareholder return of 1,333% in 10 years (January 1990 to November 2000), saw the changes required by new technology and deregulation and redefined its core competencies, which grew from its pipeline business. Skilling said to remain successful, the Houston-based corporation plans to continue to morph. "It all hinges on one good idea Enron had in the 1980s, that vertically integrated structures had dominated our industry and the structures were starting to break up. In the energy industry, the reason was deregulation. Fundamentally, this is a better business structure for two reasons: you can be supplied with cheaper cost components and it allows you to change much more quickly." Instead of bigger energy companies, Skilling said he expects to see many smaller companies, "maybe thousands tied together electronically and vertically." The transformation and interaction costs are "collapsing across the economy." As an example of interaction costs, Skilling used bank tellers. In 1985, it cost a bank $1.50 a transaction. To bank on the Internet today, it costs a bank less than a penny. This drop in interaction costs is a major reason Enron finds the bandwidth market so attractive. In 1995, the length of time to provision bandwidth was six to eight months. Today, it's two to three months. And next year, Skilling predicts it will take one second. "We will have bandwidth on demand by next year," he said, and added that Enron plans to be the leader in the field. Similarly, long-term gas contracts in 1982 took two to three years to execute. In 1989, they took nine months. Three years ago, they took two weeks to execute. Today, using EnronOnline and other similar Internet trading systems, it takes less than one second. "All of the sudden the world has changed. We have the same manufacture cost, but interactive costs collapse. I think that because of this, we'll see the collapse and demise of integrated energy companies around the world," Skilling said. To survive, Skilling advised companies to "virtually reintegrate" what they need. "If you have an old vertically integrated mind set, it's tough. Give it up. I know there are still power producers who are buying gas reserves. I don't get it. It makes no sense whatsoever. You can get it online at the lowest cost. If your business strategy is dependent on this, it will be a very hard row to hoe." Each stage of production will become increasingly competitive in the next 10 years, predicted the Enron president. "You're not just competing against three people in West Texas, but thousands around the world." Opportunities exist, he said, for those companies that "go with the flow and find ways to compete. Create low cost, dependable market interfaces...provide packaged turnkey solutions for customers through complex structures, differentiation and customization." The only threat is from the old way of doing business, he said. "But there is tremendous opportunity to do things for customer you've never been able to do." He suggested a "new" energy model based on brainpower, networking, offering real options to customers, moving quickly and being entrepreneurial. "At Enron, this has been the whole premise: to be able to change by responding and reacting to the environment. By getting components together and packaging them for the customer."