Message-ID: <7020009.1075842501014.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Tue, 27 Jun 2000 11:02:00 -0700 (PDT) From: drew.fossum@enron.com To: michel.nelson@enron.com Subject: Topock Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Drew Fossum X-To: Michel Nelson X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \Drew_Fossum_Dec2000_June2001_1\Notes Folders\Sent X-Origin: FOSSUM-D X-FileName: dfossum.nsf Here's the memo I mentioned. Obviously, we have already used up all the good ideas and are down to the fall back plans. DF ---------------------- Forwarded by Drew Fossum/ET&S/Enron on 06/27/2000 05:58 PM --------------------------- From: Drew Fossum 06/27/2000 02:24 PM To: Steven Harris/ET&S/Enron@Enron, Jeffery Fawcett/ET&S/Enron@ENRON, Louis Soldano/ET&S/Enron@ENRON, Tony Pryor/ET&S/Enron@ENRON, Susan Scott/ET&S/Enron@ENRON cc: Maria Pavlou/ET&S/Enron@ENRON, SStojic@gbmdc.com, Mary Kay Miller/ET&S/Enron@ENRON, Michael Moran/ET&S/Enron@ENRON Subject: Topock PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL: ATTORNEY CLIENT PRIVILEGE Here's an idea: PG&E's world has changed a bit since they executed the '97 interconnect agreement. Back then, I think the majority of Line 300 capacity was held by PG&E for the benefit of the core customers. Some of the capacity was held by contract transport customers, but not that much. (maybe 100,000-200,000 dth out of 1.14 bcf/d??) Now, I understand that PG&E still retains some line 300 capacity for the core, but a lot more of it is allocated out to contract transport customers. Do you guys know how much was in each of those buckets then and now? My theory is as follows: 1. As to the capacity that it retains in its own name for the benefit of its core customers, PG&E has absolute discretion as to how to use the capacity. They can nominate and schedule volumes at TW/Topock some days and nom. and schedule zero on others. They can be totally arbitrary and not schedule anything for extended periods even though they are paying demand charges on TW and may incur costs on their gas purchase contracts in the San Juan or elsewhere (eventually this would get the CPUC's attention, I guess). Even if there were no interconnect agreement or operating agreement with TW on the pcb issue, there is just not much we can do to control how PG&E dispatches gas supply. 2. PG&E's transport contracts with third parties are a different story. Those parties, not PG&E, decide how much to nom. every day. If PG&E is going to refuse to schedule a valid nom. from a transport customer, PG&E has to declare force majeure on its system or declare a capacity constraint-related curtailment. PG&E has some discretion as a prudent operatory of its system, but not nearly as much discretion as it does as to its own portfolio. 3. If 1 and 2 are correct, then the question arises: Does PG&E have to declare force majeure on its own system in order to shut us down at Topock? If the amount of capacity they have in bucket no. 1 above exceeds 300 million/d, they may be able to shut us down and continue to honor all of their transport contracts. But what if PG&E's transport customers continue to nominate TW/Topock even though PG&E is making alternative receipt point capacity available for them at El Paso Topock or somewhere else? If TW stands by ready to confirm those customers' noms, then I think we can force PG&E to declare force majeure on its own system. 4. I'm not sure no. 3 above makes any difference for us. At minimum, it focuses the attention on PG&E and not us. Remember Erin Brockovich? They will hate that. I'm sure their spin doctors will point the finger at us, but once they declare force majeure, the PR damage is done. Also, and more importantly, the standards applying to PG&E's declaration of force majeure are much more stringent than the standards under the operating agreement. We will probably have a much stronger position in litigation if the issue is "did PG&E have adequate basis for declaring force majeure" than if the issue is "did TW violate the 1 ppm standard under the operating agreement." Please let me know what we know about the capacity situation on Line 300 and give me any reactions to this idea. Thanks. DF