Message-ID: <28801487.1075840578244.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Wed, 6 Feb 2002 06:06:05 -0800 (PST) From: andy@apbenergy.com To: weathernews@apbenergy.com Subject: WEDNESDAY WEATHER HEADLINES Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Andy Weingarten @ENRON X-To: 'Weather News Distribution' X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \ExMerge - Griffith, John\Market X-Origin: GRIFFITH-J X-FileName: john griffith 6-25-02.PST Weather Headlines Wednesday February 6, 2002 More troughing in the East and ridging in the West. Pattern developing as advertised, but will the cold air materialize? The Southern stream storm track is alive and well and should continue to be so for the next couple of weeks. All of the models point to the potential of healthy winter storms in the midst of a warmer than normal temperature pattern. The lack of realized cold continues to frustrate me as once again the air simply is not that frigid. We are still below normal relative to normal over much of the South and West. In the West, it is due to high pressure trapped in the Intermountain region while in the South it is in response to inclement weather along the storm track. The North and East are back into a warming mode in spite of the fact that a trough will reform in the East. Upstream over the Western half of Canada, it is just not that cold anymore. The MRF is up to its old tricks of a sharp cooling "just past this period" and the Canadian still insists on a moderate intensity high coming down this weekend. It may well turn cooler, but certainly not in an excessive way. The five day numbers will be warming, not cooling. The 6-10 day period appears to be much more favorable for talk of storms rather than any excessive cold. We are rapidly running out of time for that as normal temperatures are now on their way up. We may not see anything extreme, but I still see some potential for the East being slightly below normal for the period if the Canadian is on the right track. The models do seem to show ridging to continue out West. It has been a very slow process, but moderation should continue. For the period Wednesday February 6 through Sunday February 10, expect the following temperature trends: Average 4 to 6-degrees below normal: Gulf Coast, Southeast... Average 1 to 3-degrees below normal: Intermountain West, Desert SW, California, Mississippi Valley... Average 1 to 3- degrees above normal: Mid-Atlantic, Southern Plains.. Average 4 to 6-degrees above normal: Ohio Valley, Rockies, Central Plains Average 7 to 10-degrees above normal: Northern Plains, Great Lakes... Andy Weingarten, Meteorologist APB Energy / True Quote