Message-ID: <10953327.1075856990147.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Fri, 21 Apr 2000 09:34:00 -0700 (PDT) From: vince.kaminski@enron.com To: mike.roberts@enron.com Subject: IPAA Short Term Forecast Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Vince J Kaminski X-To: Mike A Roberts X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \Vincent_Kaminski_Jun2001_8\Notes Folders\'sent mail X-Origin: Kaminski-V X-FileName: vkamins.nsf ---------------------- Forwarded by Vince J Kaminski/HOU/ECT on 04/21/2000 04:35 PM --------------------------- Robert Brooks on 04/21/2000 12:23:22 PM Please respond to "rebrooks@rbac.com" To: "'GPCM Distribution'" cc: Subject: IPAA Short Term Forecast GPCM Modelers, Here's an article from Powermarketers.com regarding a recent IPAA short-run forecast. Note that the title is wrong. The information in the article implies a year 2001 22.56 tcf total US consumption not output (production). And, that consumption includes pipeline fuel and lease and plant fuel. Production in 2001 is est at 18.94 tcf (not sure whether marketed or dry, but probably dry.) It could be an interesting point of comparison for your own near term forecasts. http://199.97.97.163/IMDS%PMANAT0%read%/home/content/users/imds/feeds/co mtex/2000/04/20/pr/0000-4344-dc-ipaa-oilprediction You might also want to look at IPAA's November 1998 forecasts: http://www.ipaa.org/departments/information_services/supply_and_demand_s hort_run.htm http://www.ipaa.org/departments/information_services/supply_and_demand_l ong_run.htm Bob Brooks