Message-ID: <19610404.1075856642359.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Fri, 4 Aug 2000 10:38:00 -0700 (PDT) From: kirstee.hewitt@enron.com To: vince.kaminski@enron.com Subject: Re: VaR for COB 2nd Aug 2000 Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Kirstee Hewitt X-To: Vince J Kaminski X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \Vincent_Kaminski_Jun2001_5\Notes Folders\Var X-Origin: Kaminski-V X-FileName: vkamins.nsf Hi Vince, I have sent a mail to Andreas with a full list of all the assumed units within our model. He has sent some historical data for cocoa beans and noticed that they were being quoted in GBP/mt so even currency units seem to be important. Thank you for pointing this out, Kirstee Vince J Kaminski 04/08/2000 15:45 To: Kirstee Hewitt/LON/ECT@ECT cc: Vince J Kaminski/HOU/ECT@ECT, Cantekin Dincerler/HOU/ECT@ECT, Grant Masson/HOU/ECT@ECT Subject: Re: VaR for COB 2nd Aug 2000 Hi Kirstee, Thanks again for all your work on MG. One think to double check is units. Please, make sure that the prices are quoted in the same units our positions come in. One potential source of confusion arises from the fact that we are dealing with different cultures (metric system vs. English measures). Vince Enron Capital & Trade Resources Corp. - Europe From: Kirstee Hewitt 08/03/2000 11:31 AM To: Vince J Kaminski/HOU/ECT@ECT cc: Subject: VaR for COB 2nd Aug 2000 Hi Vince, I was waiting for a comment about the email below before sending it to the full mailing list. Basically it suggests that the copper option position may well have increased the VaR by more than $500,000. However, given that the portfoilo has also changed from the 1st of August it is difficult to asses the actual change due to the option only. Regards Kirstee ---------------------- Forwarded by Kirstee Hewitt/LON/ECT on 03/08/2000 17:29 --------------------------- Enron Europe From: Kirstee Hewitt 03/08/2000 16:29 To: Cantekin Dincerler/HOU/ECT@ECT, Grant Masson/HOU/ECT@ECT cc: Subject: VaR for COB 2nd Aug 2000 Hi all, The CU option position has entered the MG books for the 2nd Aug. The delta is 35299$/mt for Dec 2000. The Cu VaR has gone up from $2,245,000 to $3,306,000. I estimated that the portfolio for the 1st would increase to approx $3,039,000 so this seems sensible. The overall VaR change is from $4,780,796 to $5,991,569. Again, the estimate for the 1st Aug was for an increase in VaR to ~ $5,476,000. All estimates were based on a delta of 32,0004/dmt. There has also been some increase in the VaR for Aluminium which will effect the overall total. A summary is as follows : regards, Kirstee