Message-ID: <5902015.1075855682664.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 09:40:00 -0700 (PDT) From: phillip.allen@enron.com To: mac.d.hargrove@rssmb.com Subject: Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Phillip K Allen X-To: mac.d.hargrove@rssmb.com X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \Phillip_Allen_Dec2000\Notes Folders\Sent X-Origin: Allen-P X-FileName: pallen.nsf Mac, Thanks for the research report on EOG. Here are my observations: Gas Sales 916,000/day x 365 days = 334,340,000/year Estimated Gas Prices $985,721,000/334,340,000= $2.95/mcf Actual gas prices are around $1.00/mcf higher and rising. Recalc of EPS with more accurate gas prices: (334,340,000 mct X $1/mcf)/116,897,000 shares outst = $2.86 additional EPS X 12 P/E multiple = $34 a share That is just a back of the envelope valuation based on gas prices. I think crude price are undervalued by the tune of $10/share. Current price 37 Nat. Gas 34 Crude 10 Total 81 Can you take a look at these numbers and play devil's advocate? To me this looks like the best stock to own Also can you send me a report on Calpine, Tosco, and SLB? Thank you, Phillip