Message-ID: <4795554.1075852369358.JavaMail.evans@thyme>
Date: Thu, 27 Sep 2001 12:45:11 -0700 (PDT)
From: m..forney@enron.com
To: e-mail <.kenneth@enron.com>, tom.may@enron.com
Subject: Frontera Proposal for tomorrow
Cc: doug.gilbert-smith@enron.com
Mime-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Bcc: doug.gilbert-smith@enron.com
X-From: Forney, John M. </O=ENRON/OU=NA/CN=RECIPIENTS/CN=JFORNEY>
X-To: Kenneth Parker (E-mail) <kbparker@tecoenergy.com.>, May, Tom </O=ENRON/OU=NA/CN=RECIPIENTS/CN=Tmay>
X-cc: Gilbert-smith, Doug </O=ENRON/OU=NA/CN=RECIPIENTS/CN=Dsmith3>
X-bcc: 
X-Folder: \JFORNEY (Non-Privileged)\Forney, John M.\Sent Items
X-Origin: FORNEY-J
X-FileName: JFORNEY (Non-Privileged).pst



Ken,
As discussed earlier,  I am proposing ramping up late for the onpeak sale that Frontera made for tomorrow.       If we must sell the offpeak hours required to affect a 340 mw onpeak schedule,  I show that we would almost negate all profit from the sale.

I am suggesting starting your ramp beginning hour ending 7 and purchasing a fixed price swap from Enron for the short generation.    Basically,  you sold the preschedule for $21 and we would fix your price for hours ending 7-11 at $20.     

The benefit in this swap would be:
hedge against floating price
lock in $1 profit on sale for short portion of the schedule, increasing revenues
avoid losing approximately $10k on selling ramping schedule -  $4 is an optimistic real time sales price at this point,  however,  I used this in the analysis.



Please let me know what you think.      Enron will be offically rolling this swap product out to all of our service customers.   
I  think this would be a good fit your company and I would like to try this for Friday's run.

Additionally,   I think that there may be a good down balancing or OOM down  opportunity for tomorrow because of this preschedule.


Let me know what you think,

JForney
713-853-7160



 