Message-ID: <28459290.1075862331133.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Mon, 19 Nov 2001 11:25:17 -0800 (PST) From: stanley.horton@enron.com To: rod.hayslett@enron.com Subject: RE: Project Armstrong Cases Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Horton, Stanley X-To: Hayslett, Rod X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \SHORTON (Non-Privileged)\Horton, Stanley\Sent Items X-Origin: Horton-S X-FileName: SHORTON (Non-Privileged).pst From a valuation standpoint I assume Case 1 would give us the highest multiple. The issue is is it doable? We have achieved $600 million last year. Also, before we go further with Project Armstrong I would like to get Whalley and Dynegy to agree that if the discussions are successful we would do the deal. Let's suspend these discussions for the time being. Stan -----Original Message----- From: Hayslett, Rod Sent: Monday, November 19, 2001 11:51 AM To: Horton, Stanley Subject: Fw: Project Armstrong Cases Importance: High What is your choice? -------------------------- Sent from my BlackBerry Wireless Handheld (www.BlackBerry.net) -----Original Message----- From: Peters, Jerry To: Hayslett, Rod Sent: Mon Nov 19 11:35:00 2001 Subject: Project Armstrong Cases Rod, Attached are three cases for Project Armstrong. I know you're out of the office until Wednesday but I thought if you could respond by Blackberry or phone as to which case we should send to TCPL, I would get that to them before the holiday so they could work on it Thursday and Friday. * Case 1 is an 8% distribution growth case (starting with the plan and increasing acquisition activity to deliver 8% growth). To achieve that our total capex for NBP goes up to an average of just over $400 million per year. * Case 2 tracks with our budget case and involves about $200 million in capex per year and results in 2 years of 8% growth and then a flat distribution level for the remaining 3 years. * Case 3 utilizes the budget case but eliminates all acquisitions (capex is about $30 - $40 million average per year for maintenance and asset development) and assumes NBPL recontracting occurs at 85% of max rates. The result is distributions increase to $3.30 in 2002 and stay at that level throughout the 5 year period. Obviously Case 1 is the most aggressive in terms of valuation among the three. Please let me know if that is ok to send or do you have something else in mind. Also I could fax hard copies if you would like... <>