Subject: Quebecor DASH
From: [email-masked]
To: [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked]
Cc: [email-masked], [email-masked]
Date: Mon, 3 Apr 2000 08:08:00 -0700 (PDT)

Steve, et al  --

RAC is finishing up its activities on the Quebecor transaction.  Quebecor is 
the reformulated World Color Press deal from a few years ago.  

We are still trying to understand which utilities are key for the Quebecor 
deal.  The positions are very dispersed.  Many of the positions are behind 
munis and coops.  It is my understanding that the contract will supply 1.4MM 
Mwh / year across the country at about 100 sites.

Rather than trying to identify a specific $$ amount of Profit at Risk due to 
Regulatory Risk (which requires specific knowledge of rate curves and 
positions), I am recommending that RAC highlight to Mgmt the impact from a 
$1/Mwh increase in T&D rates across the board.  This equals a $9.3 MM loss 
for EES (@ PV8). [This will not be a reduction to the overall NPV value - 
just a comment in the Risk Description].

As a point of reference, a $1/Mwh increase is about a 2.9% increase in T&D 
and a 1.2% increase in Total Rate (assume $35/Mwh for T&D with a total bill 
of $80/Mwh for Commercial customers).  In general, the probability of all 
sites having a 2.9% increase in T&D rates is rather low.

Finally, Scott Stoness is pulling the Top 5 Utilities by position for the 
Quebecor deal so that we can perform additional analysis on critical rate 
curves.  If this highlights any additional problems, we will include in the 
DASH.

JDS