Message-ID: <2033264.1075840904299.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Mon, 12 Feb 2001 19:59:00 -0800 (PST) From: ray.niles@ssmb.com Subject: CORRECTION-- CONFERENCE CALL ON TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 13 (800-229-028 1) Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Niles, Ray X-To: X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \ExMerge - Kitchen, Louise\'Americas\Regulatory X-Origin: KITCHEN-L X-FileName: louise kitchen 2-7-02.pst SSB Conference Call Tuesday, February 13, 2001 2:00 PM EST Beyond California: The Power & Merchant Energy Outlook for 2001 Recent Publication: The Power Curve and Merchant Energy Monthly We see continued strong fundamentals in the wholesale power markets as we move into 2001. Forward markets show average U.S. power prices 92% higher in 2001 than in 2000. The western hubs have seen the most staggering increases; however, the markets foretell stronger prices across the country in 2001. We continue to recommend the Power Producers, based on both our power price and spark spread analyses, which show strengthening spark spreads in the United States, despite the record highs recently seen in the natural gas markets. We highlight Calpine, NRG Energy, and Mirant. Our volatility indices demonstrate a dramatic shift in historical volatility to the western hubs and away from the Midwestern markets of 1998-99. We expect volatility to persist in the West, likely accompanied by higher volatility in the remainder of the country in 2001. This benefits Energy Merchants, and we highlight Enron, Dynegy, Duke, and El Paso. Dial In 800-229-0281 US 706-645-9237 Intl Replay 800-642-1687 US 706-645-9291 Intl Reservation 735670 (replay until 2/15) hosted by: Raymond Niles Director Power & Natural Gas Research Salomon Smith Barney 212-816-2086 Raymond C. Niles Power/Natural Gas Research Salomon Smith Barney (212) 816-2807 ray.niles@ssmb.com s