Message-ID: <10567610.1075861208408.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Tue, 20 Nov 2001 16:01:21 -0800 (PST) From: burson@gastrader.net To: bmckay@enron.com Subject: GasTrader Energy Briefs Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: burson@GasTrader.net@ENRON X-To: bmckay@enron.com X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \BMCKAY (Non-Privileged)\Mckay, Brad\Deleted Items X-Origin: Mckay-B X-FileName: BMCKAY (Non-Privileged).pst Daily Market Commentary ATTENTION . . . ATTENTION . . . ATTENTION . . . Beginning December 3 the Daily Briefs will be available only with a subscription to GasTrader Newsletter. With GasTrader Newsletter and the Daily Briefs not only will the short term outlook from the floor of the New York Mercantile Exchange be available, but the longer term outlook complete with no nonsense trading recommendations will be covered as well. Check out the website for a SAMPLE NEWSLETTER, sign up for a FREE 5 WEEK TRIAL SUBSCRIPTION at GasTrader.net or reply to this e-mail if interested in a special discount. . . . . . November 20, 2001 SHORT COVERING CONTINUES AS TRADE SELLS . . . Natural gas futures worked higher in active trading Tuesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. An overly optimistic opening call prompted early buying by local and short term traders, but trade and commercial accounts used the occasion to sell. Traders are anxiously awaiting the release of tomorrow's inventory report, and longer term traders see a potential market free fall. . . At the end of the day the December futures added $.061 to $2.852 per MMBtu, and the January rose $.045 to $3.041 per MMBtu. . . "It was a wild night on Access last night and prices were called 10 cents to 11 cents higher so a number of local traders were long right at the open," said a New York floor trader. . . "There was a print of $2.91 in early trading, so that encouraged more traders to buy, but that turned out to be an error and $2.81 was the correct print." . . "Trade and commercial accounts were active sellers in early trading and that pushed prices down in early trading, but they were also sellers as prices rose back to $2.75 to $2.77 at midsession." . . "I believe that the floor traders are holding a nominal long position. We're hearing estimates of a 10 BCF draw to a 10 BCF build on the AGA report tomorrow," he said. . . Other traders are assessing the economy for signs of greater demand for natural gas, and aren't terribly encouraged. "My indicators show that the worst of the economy is not behind us," says Greg Parks, broker analyst with Refco, Chicago. "One of my clients says that if the AGA report tomorrow shows a build, that the December natural gas contract will trade below $2.00 by expiration (next Wednesday). In the absence of very cold weather, natural gas has at least 30 to 40 cents more to the downside. Demand is all heating related this time of year," he said. . . "I'm looking for a small build in the AGA's to crack the market pretty hard," he said. For the most complete information available subscribe to GasTrader at http://gastrader.net Bill Burson 120 Summit Blvd. Englewood, Colorado 80110 Tel (303) 761-7470 * Fax (303) 761-8662 (To be removed from this list send email to burson@gastrader.net)