Message-ID: <18026635.1075840070369.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Tue, 6 Jun 2000 09:00:00 -0700 (PDT) From: mark.koenig@enron.com To: kenneth.lay@enron.com, jeff.skilling@enron.com Subject: US Officials Dismiss Rumors Of Power Market Price Caps Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: Mark Koenig X-To: Kenneth Lay, Jeff Skilling X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \Jeffrey_Skilling_Dec2000\Notes Folders\All documents X-Origin: SKILLING-J X-FileName: jskillin.nsf FYI ---------------------- Forwarded by Mark Koenig/Corp/Enron on 06/06/2000 03:57 PM --------------------------- Jason Lindauer on 06/06/2000 03:35:26 PM To: cc: Subject: US Officials Dismiss Rumors Of Power Market Price Caps By Bryan Lee WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Speculation that U.S. regulators would impose price caps on competitive power markets sent several sector stocks into a tumble this week. But officials with the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and the U.S. Department of Energy Tuesday called the speculation unfounded. "We're not discussing (price controls)," said FERC Commissioner Curtis Hebert. "This is the first I've heard of it," said FERC Commissioner William Massey. "I am not aware and have not been involved in any discussion related to generic application of price caps," Massey said. A senior Energy Department official dismissed a rumor that Energy Secretary Bill Richardson had asked FERC to consider price caps as a response to potential power grid outages this summer. "We have not at all talked about price caps with FERC," the Energy Department official said, adding: "We do not intend to get involved in that issue." The comments came after shares of several companies active in the converging natural gas and power sectors took a severe hit Monday in response to concerns that the regulators would cap power prices, which would limit revenue from gas-fired generation investments. Shares of Dynegy Inc. (DYN) dropped 8.6% on Monday, while Enron Corp. (ENE) and El Paso Energy Corp. (EPG) saw their stocks fall 4.9% and 5%. Calpine Corp. (CPN) took the hardest fall, losing 12% of its share value. Wall Street analysts attributed the sell-off to profit-taking and an unfounded reaction to speculation in a Prudential Securities note to investors regarding the potential for FERC to intervene in competitive power markets. The June article, written by Carol Coale, a Houston-based analyst with Prudential, said FERC "is proposing to endorse price caps on electricity to prevent brownouts and other reliability issues." Coale warned that this "could significantly limit the profitability" of gas-fired generation investments by Dynegy, Enron, El Paso and Duke Energy (DUK), which also saw share values tumble this week. These companies developing gas-fired power plants could see their profitability affected "if the FERC were to actually take such action," Coale wrote. (MORE) DOW JONES NEWS 06-06-00 03:24 PM- - 03 24 PM EDT 06-06-00 "My comments triggered a knee-jerk reaction," Coale said Tuesday. "It's interesting to see how one small comment gets blown up," she said. Coale joined other analysts Tuesday in saying investors overreacted, and suggested that Monday's sell-off might present a good opportunity to buy the companies' stocks. "We do not believe the government is interested in nationwide power price caps," said James Yannello, an analyst with PaineWebber, in a note to investors Tuesday. "We see the recent pullback...as an excellent buying opportunity," Yanello said. Coale said the ground was laid for Monday's stock dive when Dynegy issued a press release Friday urging FERC "to resist the temptation to endorse price caps." The possibility of price caps was raised by Dynegy and others in response to FERC's May 17 notice seeking comments on actions the regulators can take this summer to assure power grid reliability. While those comments urged the commission against considering price controls, the mere discussion of capping the steep spikes in power prices during transmission grid constraints spooked investors Monday. Massey, the FERC commissioner, noted that the commission has never imposed price caps on the competitive wholesale power markets its regulations helped bring about. FERC has imposed price caps only in certain markets for "ancillary services," the term used for electricity generation necessary to assure grid reliability, Massey said. "The price caps at the wholesale level are few and far between, and for the most part are very generous," Massey said. The grid-reliability measures FERC proposed May 17 would allow industrial generators to sell power into the grid at prevailing market rates, or to get paid for not using electricity, during a grid-reliability emergency, Massey noted. Hebert, the lone Republican commissioner who has consistently voted against the FERC majority Democrats in allowing the price caps, said the stock market's reaction this week validates his arguments against price controls. "Investors see their opportunity to earn being inhibited by FERC," Hebert said. "This is evidence of what I've been talking about. Price controls consistently inhibit the market." The stock performance of these companies will continue to be overshadowed by uncertainty until FERC announces its "final decision" on power grid reliability, Coale said in a followup note to investors Tuesday. "While we do not see a trend for the FERC to re-regulate the wholesale electricity market, we do see a trend in its propensity to approve temporary price caps in certain illiquid markets," Coale said. -By Bryan Lee, Dow Jones Newswires; 202-862-6647; bryan.lee@dowjones.com (END) DOW JONES NEWS 06-06-00 04:27 PM- - 04 27 PM EDT 06-06-00 > ______________________ > Jason M. Lindauer > The Carson Group > 156 W. 56th Street, 10th Fl. > New York, NY 10019 > Phone: (212) 707-0680 > Fax: (212) 265-9813 > jlindauer@carsongroup.com > --------------------------------------- > > >