Message-ID: <14502298.1075845358986.JavaMail.evans@thyme> Date: Thu, 17 May 2001 13:14:00 -0700 (PDT) From: v.weldon@enron.com To: mason.hamlin@enron.com, nick.hiemstra@enron.com Subject: Algonquin Pricing Analysis Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-From: V Charles Weldon X-To: Mason Hamlin , Nick Hiemstra X-cc: X-bcc: X-Folder: \Weldon, V. Charles\Weldon, V. Charles\Sent Items X-Origin: WELDON-V X-FileName: Weldon, V. Charles.pst Per our conversation, I recommend using Tetco M3 plus the avg seasonal basis to Alg CG (Summer =~0, Winter =~.10) Note the volatility in these that I graphed. This volatility willl likely need to be taken into account in your model if/when you get to that level of detail. Charlie